Lula Gains 5 Points, Wins in 1st Round: Poll

Former President of Brazil Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is making gains in the electoral race for the presidency with 46% of voting intention, according to a new FSB/BTG poll, released this Monday. According to the survey, if elections were held today, Lula would be elected in the first round.

The survey is the first carried out by the companies after the withdrawal of former São Paulo governor João Doria, who was a pre-candidate for the PSDB. With this latest departure, Lula gains five percentage points. The full findings can seen here.

Meanwhile, Jair Bolsonaro, appears in second place, with 32%, in the main scenario tested, with 11 pre-candidates. Former minister and ex-governor of Ceará Ciro Gomes (PDT) comes in third, with 9%.

If only valid votes are considered, Lula has 51% which would guarantee victory in the first round, which had already been shown by Datafolha on Thursday (26th).

“Contrary to what many imagined, the withdrawal of names from the so-called third way has reinforced the polarization between Lula and Bolsonaro. When Moro left, Bolsonaro grew. Now, with Doria’s departure, it was Lula’s turn to gain ground”, he highlighted. Marcelo Tokarski, managing partner of the FSB Research Institute.

Second round

In the second round simulation, Lula, receiving 54% of voter intention sits 19 points ahead of Jair Bolsonaro, who received 35%.

The poll surveyed 2,000 voters aged 16 and over between May 27 and 29. The interviews were done by telephone. The survey confidence index is 95%. The survey was carried out by the FSB Institute, contracted by the BTG Pactual bank and registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under protocol number BR-03196/2022.

Translated from Brasil de Fato

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