Leaked US Intel Reveals Iran Attack Plans and Confirms Israeli Nukes

“We have not observed indications that Israel intends to use a nuclear weapon.”

This statement concludes an allegedly leaked or hacked U.S. intelligence document that surfaced online this week and was subsequently covered by Axios, CNN, and other media entities.

As Axios reported on Saturday, “U.S. officials are deeply concerned about a possible significant security leak after two purported U.S. intelligence documents detailing Israel’s plans for an attack on Iran were released by a Telegram channel linked to Iran.”

The Associated Press and independent investigative journalist Ken Klippenstein both referenced government insiders who claimed the documents seemed genuine. Although U.S. officials have not yet made a public statement, there is confirmation that an investigation into the legitimacy of the documents and their public disclosure is ongoing.

Following a series of missile attacks targeting military sites in Israel by Iran on October 1, a response to Israel’s assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah among other incidents, the international community has been anticipating Israel’s promised military retaliation.

If these documents are verified as accurate, they reveal that U.S. intelligence keeps a detailed and secretive watch over Israeli military operations, despite the close alliance between the two nations.

CNN cited an anonymous U.S. official who described the public release of these documents as “deeply concerning,” although the network did not publish the documents in entirety. The documents, CNN reports,

are classified as top secret and bear markings that restrict their viewing to the U.S. and its “Five Eyes” allies — Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. They detail Israel’s logistical movements apparently in preparation for an attack on Iran. One document, attributed to the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, discusses the transportation of munitions by Israel.

Another document, purportedly from the National Security Agency, describes Israeli air force drills involving air-to-surface missiles, also believed to be preparatory steps for an assault on Iran. CNN has chosen not to directly quote from or display these documents.

It is widely acknowledged that Israel possesses a nuclear arsenal and maintains a nuclear weapons program, although both the Israeli and U.S. governments officially neither confirm nor deny their existence. One document explicitly mentions Israel’s capability to deploy a nuclear weapon but assesses the likelihood of such action as low in this instance.

Ken Klippenstein, recently banned from X for revealing an internal opposition research dossier compiled by the Trump campaign on JD Vance, uploaded images of both documents to his Substack page, criticizing major media outlets for their hesitance to do the same.

“As with the J.D. Vance Dossier, which was known but unpublished by the media, it seems the press has again faltered in its duty to report news,” Klippenstein remarked.

According to Klippenstein’s analysis:

The intelligence report provides a comprehensive overview of Israeli military operations monitored by the U.S. to shape its assessments and decisions: weapon movements, air defense, ground forces, Navy, Air Force, Special Forces, and Israel’s Nuclear Forces. However, only the categories of weapons handling and special forces are marked as having a “medium” predictive capability in determining Israel’s actions; the rest are labeled as having “low” predictive capability.

The second intelligence report is titled “Israel: Air Force Continues Preparations for Strike on Iran and Conducts a Second Large-Force Employment Exercise.” The document outlines Israeli activities during what appears to be a “mission rehearsal” (in U.S. terminology) that could signal how Israel plans to strike Iran. Citing imagery analysis and other sources, the NGA report notes that the Israeli Air Force has been conducting covert drone operations over Iran (presumably for surveillance purposes), and mentions the handling of air-launched ballistic missiles and other munitions.

Klippenstein defended his decision to release the full documents, explaining that they provide “insight of immense public interest as we stand on the brink of a wider conflict” and contain “information that is directly relevant to U.S. responsibilities and actions. For these reasons, I’ve chosen to publish the basic documents.”